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SIGNIFICANT WEATHER DEC 1-3
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VORTEXX
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Joined: Tue Sep 25th, 2007
Location: Springfield, Missouri USA
Posts: 71
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 Posted: Tue Nov 27th, 2007 05:29 am

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Latest model guidance is putting a risk of an ice storm in the Missouri
valley area Saturday into Monday....The WRF model is showing
significant moisture over running a much colder airmass across Missouri
during this period....The last model run has this system along the I-70
corridor...This is early! early! early! but remember that winter
forecast models are not very consistant as far as intensity of the
storm, the mode of precipitation and most importantly the most accurate
storm track...THIS SAID...I advise all to review their own
winter weather preparedness and also watch later forecasts
carefully...

Buddy Dornster
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Joined: Sun Feb 4th, 2007
Location: Missouri USA
Posts: 141
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 Posted: Tue Nov 27th, 2007 02:41 pm

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Early, yes, but only if you look at recent history.  Last time we were around the bottom of the temperature cycle, '68-'74, we had some significant WX earlier than now.

1966, Thanksgiving snowstorm with 8 inches, two days prior to the Holiday.

1972; this date we were recovering from one ice storm, with another coming in a couple of days.  Later that season, 4 foot snow drifts.

We can and DO have long, cold, eventful winters in these here hills!  With the hot cycle over, we can expect a return to "normal" followed by some pretty severe stuff in 10-15 years.

Buddy Dornster
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Joined: Sun Feb 4th, 2007
Location: Missouri USA
Posts: 141
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 Posted: Wed Nov 28th, 2007 02:25 pm

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:shock:  NOAA is rapidly changing the weekend forecast for the Ozarks.  Check out the Hazardous Weather Outlook for your region.

Mr Mike
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Joined: Mon May 7th, 2007
Location: South Korea
Posts: 531
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 Posted: Tue Dec 4th, 2007 11:19 pm

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http://www.crh.noaa.gov/sgf/

Attachment: 100 inches.jpg (Downloaded 10 times)


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